soccer@tss.ca
1751 Savage Road, Richmond, BC

Fun with Numbers – National Club Championships (Vol. 2)

Last season, I wrote my first instalment summarizing BC club team results at the 2011 National Championships. I have chosen to embed 2012 numbers and comments in last year's article for comparison purposes. New text and figures are highlighted in red italics

Over the past week, 8 of our Provincial Club Champions scattered out across Canada to represent our province at the Canadian National Club Championships. As a former player who has participated in these events in the (deep) past, it is a grueling and very challenging several days where results are difficult to achieve regardless of opposition.

I commend all of the groups for their preparation and participation on behalf of soccer here in BC.

Although we continue to say that results are only one part of the measuring stick when it comes to player development, here is how our teams did in each of the age categories:

2011 RANKINGS
Age Group Ranking
Senior Men 2nd place
Senior Women 1st place
U18 Boys 5th place
U18 Girls 5th place
U16 Boys 3rd place
U16 Girls 5th place
U14 Boys 5th place
U14 Girls 3rd place
  
2012 RANKINGS
Age Group Ranking
Senior Men 5th place
Senior Women 2nd place
U18 Boys 3rd place
U18 Girls 7th place
U16 Boys 1st place
U16 Girls 5th place
U14 Boys 6th place
U14 Girls 7th place

 

The BCSA has just put out a press release suggesting that we have “excelled” at these competitions. The first thing one could ask is what is the definition of excelled? As of my writing, there has been no summary of events put out by the BCSA (except for results posted on Twitter).

That could mean any number of things. Lets take a leap and assume that “excelled” means results.

BC is the 3rd largest province in Canada when it comes to participation in soccer. This is all based on recorded registration numbers. Ontario is first by a long shot, Quebec 2nd, Alberta is 4th. Purely from a mathematical perspective BC should consistently end up in 3rd place on average when attending National competitions.

Looking at all 8 competitions I came up with a very rudimentary analysis of results. The score any one province would want here is akin to golf. Low score is good.

Assigning a “1” to a first place finish, “2” to a second and so on, here is what the numbers show:

 

2011 OVERALL SCORES
Ranking Prov Score Medals
1 Ontario 2.375 4 gold medals, 2 silver, 1 bronze
2 Quebec 2.625 2 gold medals, 3 silver
3 BC 3.625 1 gold medal, 1 silver, 2 bronze
4 Alberta 4.25 1 silver medal, 3 bronze
5 Manitoba 5.85 1 bronze
6 Saskatchewan 5.85 1 gold



2012 OVERALL SCORES
Ranking Prov Score Medals
1 Ontario 2.13 4 gold medals, 2 silver, 1 bronze
2 Quebec 3.75 1 gold medal, 2 bronze
3 Alberta 3.5 3 silver medals, 2 bronze
4 BC 4.5 1 gold medal, 1 silver, 1 bronze
5 Manitoba 4.75 1 gold medal, 1 bronze
6 Saskatchewan 5.63 1 gold meal, 2 bronze
7 Nova Scotia 6.00 1 silver medal

 

Based on our demographic, we have performed at a level that is expected of the 3rd largest soccer province. We placed in 3rd. Sorry folks, this season we have the 4th lowest score, a full point behind out neighbours Alberta

Now if you look at this in terms of senior soccer vs youth, BC is number one in Canada at the adult amateur level. Very well done. Ahead of the curve. Sorry folks, we are now in 3rd spot here.

Here is how the youth numbers look:

 

2011 YOUTH SCORES
Ranking Prov Score
1 Ontario 1.33
2 Quebec 2.33
3 Alberta 3.66
4 BC 4.33
5 Manitoba 5.16
6 Saskatchewan 7.6



2012 YOUTH SCORES
Ranking Prov Score
1 Ontario 1.67
2 Alberta 3.17
3 Manitoba 3.83
4 Quebec 4.17
5 BC 4.83
6 Nova Scotia 6.0
7 Saskatchewan 6.5

 

As you can see, our result success at the youth level has been overcome by our next door neighbours – Alberta. And we are followed closely behind (.83) by our friends from Manitoba. Sorry folks, now we are in 5th, overcome by the powerhouse Manitoba by an entire point.

I have always marvelled at our success rate result-wise when you consider our teams enter these competitions several games into our next season (unless our representative comes from the interior) while the rest of the country is peaking at the end of their seasons. Then you add in the scenario where some teams have players who’ve left the club and they’re returning to play just in this event. This can create some pretty strange dynamics.

So did we “excel” this time round? From a standpoint of all the work put into paying for, preparing, taking time off work and school, travelling to different time zones, sleeping in different beds, eating different food, playing many games in a short period of time, the answer is most definitely yes. From a pure game result perspective? That is up for debate.

From the youth side of the equation, I look forward to the new BCPL format having a positive impact on our results this time next year when I get my abacus out once again.

Here are some interesting 2012 thoughts:

*U14 South Fraser girls and U16 Mountain United girls finished 7th and 5th respectively in their divisions. Both teams contained a significant number of players from our provincial teams this past season.

*A journalist recently ranked MLS teams based on the team's salaries vs wins, which essentially tabulates a "cost per win" in the league (poor Toronto FC - very expensive). It would be interesting to do a similar comparison with the cost per player on each of the 6 youth teams from last season (Metro) to this season (BCPL).


Colin Elmes
Managing Director
TSS Academy

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